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词条 2012 United States Senate election in Ohio
释义

  1. Democratic Primary

      Democratic Primary Results 

  2. Republican primary

      Candidates    Filed    Withdrew    Endorsements    Results  

  3. General election

      Candidates    Debates    Campaign    Endorsements    Fundraising    Top contributors    Top industries    Predictions    Polling    Results  

  4. See also

  5. References

  6. External links

{{Use mdy dates|date=December 2017}}{{Infobox election
| election_name = United States Senate election in Ohio, 2012
| country = Ohio
| type = presidential
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = United States Senate election in Ohio, 2006
| previous_year = 2006
| next_election = United States Senate election in Ohio, 2018
| next_year = 2018
| election_date = {{Start date|2012|11|6}}
| turnout = 64.6% (voting eligible)[1]
| image1 =
| nominee1 = Sherrod Brown
| party1 = Democratic Party (United States)
| popular_vote1 = 2,762,766
| percentage1 = 50.7%
| image2 =
| nominee2 = Josh Mandel
| party2 = Republican Party (United States)
| popular_vote2 = 2,435,744
| percentage2 = 44.7%
| map_image = Ohio Senate Election Results by County, 2012.svg
| map_size = 200px
| map_caption = County results
Brown:
{{legend0|#a5b0ff|40-50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}}
Mandel:
{{legend0|#ffb2b2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#e27f7f|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d72f30|70–80%}}
| title = U.S. Senator
| before_election = Sherrod Brown
| before_party = Democratic Party (United States)
| after_election = Sherrod Brown
| after_party = Democratic Party (United States)
}}

The 2012 United States Senate election in Ohio took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Sherrod Brown won re-election to a second term. He was unopposed in the Democratic primary and Ohio State Treasurer Josh Mandel won the Republican primary with 63% of the vote.[2][3]

Democratic Primary

Democratic Primary Results

{{Election box begin no change
| title = Democratic primary results
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Sherrod Brown (Incumbent)
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 802,678
| percentage = 100.00
}}{{Election box total no change
| votes = 802,678
| percentage= 100.00
}}{{Election box end}}

Republican primary

Candidates

Filed

  • Russell Bliss
  • David Dodt
  • Donna Glisman, retired entrepreneur[4]
  • Eric LaMont Gregory, medical scientist[5]
  • Josh Mandel, Ohio State Treasurer[6]
  • Michael Pryce, surgeon[7]

Withdrew

  • Kevin Coughlin, former Ohio state senator (dropped out)[8][9]

Endorsements

Josh Mandel was endorsed by Rob Portman, U.S. Senator (R-OH);[10] Jim DeMint, U.S. Senator (R-SC);[11] Jim Jordan, U.S. Congressman (R-OH);[12] Club for Growth;[13] National Rifle Association;[14] Tea Party Express;[15] Jeb Bush, Former Governor of Florida;[16] John McCain, U.S. Senator (R-AZ);[17] Marco Rubio, U.S. Senator (R-FL);[18] Chris Christie, Governor of New Jersey;[19] Afghanistan & Iraq Veterans for Congress (AIVC);[20] Buckeye Firearms Association[21] National Right to Life Committee;[22] Ohio Right to Life;[23] and National Federation of Independent Business[24]

Results

{{ElectionsOH}} {{Election box begin no change
| title = Republican primary results[25]
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Josh Mandel
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 580,525
| percentage = 63.00
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Michael Pryce
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 130,370
| percentage = 14.15
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Donna Glisman
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 114,183
| percentage = 12.39
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = David Dodt
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 47,278
| percentage = 5.13
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Eric Gregory
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 47,123
| percentage = 5.11
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Russell Bliss
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 1,927
| percentage = 0.21
}}{{Election box total no change
| votes = 921,406
| percentage = 100
}}{{Election box end}}

General election

Candidates

  • Sherrod Brown (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Senator
  • Josh Mandel (Republican), Ohio State Treasurer
  • Scott Rupert (Independent), truck driver[26]

Debates

The candidates engaged in three debates: October 15, October 18 and 25. The third debate took place Thursday, October 25 at 7 p.m. in Cincinnati. NBC White House Correspondent Chuck Todd moderated the debate with anchor/political reporter Colleen Marshall from WCMH in Columbus, anchor Sheree Paolello from WLWT in Cincinnati, and political reporter Tom Beres from WKYC in Cleveland. It was live on all Ohio NBC affiliates.[27]

  • Complete video of debate at C-SPAN, October 15, 2012
  • Complete video of debate at C-SPAN, October 25, 2012

Campaign

In 2006, U.S. Representative Sherrod Brown defeated two-term incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Mike DeWine 56%-44% 2006 election. Over the past six years, he established a very liberal, progressive, and populist record. The National Journal named Brown the most liberal U.S. Senator in the past two years.[28] The Washington Post called him a "modern-day Paul Wellstone." One article said "Brown is way to the left of Ohio in general, but probably the only person who could outwork Brown is Portman."[29] Brown is the only candidate the 60 Plus Association targeted in the 2012 election cycle.[30]

Mandel, 34, was elected state treasurer in 2010. Before that, he was a Lyndhurst City Councilman and Ohio State Representative. He was criticized as Ohio Treasurer for not fulfilling his pledge to serve a four-year term and for not attending any of the Board of Deposit monthly meetings.[31] However, Mandel raised a lot of money. He was called a rising star in the Republican Party and was called "the rock star of the party." He was also compared to Marco Rubio.[32]

Mandel's campaign was singled out by the independent fact-checking group Politifact for its "casual relationship with the truth" and its tendency to "double down" after inaccuracies were pointed out. The fact-checking group wrote: "For all the gifts Mandel has, from his compelling personal narrative as an Iraq war veteran to a well-oiled fundraising machine, whoppers are fast becoming a calling card of his candidacy."[33]

Mandel raised $7.2 million through the first quarter of 2012. He had $5.3 million cash on hand, trailing Brown's $6.3 million.[34] However, Mandel benefited from massive support from conservative out-of-state superPACs, which raise unlimited amounts of money from anonymous donors. These outside groups, including Crossroads GPS, aired over $60 million in TV advertising supporting Mandel and attacking Brown,[35] outspending Democratically-aligned outside groups by more than five-to-one.[36] Mandel's campaign was aided by over $1 million spent primarily on attack ads by a 501(c)(4) organization called the Government Integrity Fund. The group was funded by anonymous donors and run by lobbyist Tom Norris of Columbus, Ohio-based Cap Square Solutions.[37]

Endorsements

Brown was endorsed by the Cleveland Plain Dealer,[38] the Columbus Dispatch,[39] the Toledo Blade,[40] the Youngstown Vindicator,[41] the Cincinnati Enquirer,[42] and the Akron Beacon-Journal.[43]

Mandel was endorsed by the Warren Tribune-Chronicle[44] and the Marietta Times.[45]

Fundraising

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Sherrod Brown (D) $8,132,882 $3,379,775 $6,273,316 $0
Josh Mandel (R) $7,286,390 $1,999,397 $5,286,993 $0
Scott Rupert (I) $3,153 $2,594 $389 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[46][47][48]

Top contributors

[49]
Sherrod Brown Contribution Josh Mandel Contribution
JStreetPAC $71,175 Club for Growth $172,904
Ohio State University $69,470 Senate Conservatives Fund $114,400
Kohrman, Jackson & Krantz $59,500 Suarez Corp $90,000
Cleveland Clinic $57,971 Kasowitz Benson Torres & Friedman $41,600
Forest City Enterprises $51,600 American Financial Group $32,750
American Electric Power $42,350 Cintas Corp $30,000
Squire Sanders $39,400 Sullivan & Cromwell $25,475
Baker & Hostetler $38,906 Susquehanna International Group $22,500
Case Western Reserve University $35,450 Timken Company $22,500
Vorys, Sater, Seymour and Pease $34,167 Crawford Group $22,000

Top industries

[50]
Sherrod Brown Contribution Josh Mandel Contribution
Lawyers/Law Firms $1,587,113 Retired $480,900
Retired $942,717 Financial Institutions $397,140
Health Professionals $536,954 Real Estate $371,057
Real Estate $435,066 Lawyers/Law Firms $362,515
Lobbyists $393,651 Leadership PACs $320,050
Education $369,722 Republican/Conservative $278,924
Leadership PACs $318,975 Manufacturing & Distributing $276,600
Hospitals/Nursing Homes $286,072 Misc Finance $205,350
Insurance $223,983 Retail Industry $166,650
Financial Institutions $204,350 Pro-Israel $163,000

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[51]{{sort|098|Lean D}} November 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[52]{{sort|098|Lean D}} November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report[53]{{sort|098|Lean D}} November 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics[54]{{sort|098|Lean D}} November 5, 2012

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sherrod
Brown (D)
Josh
Mandel (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 10–13, 2011 559 ±4.1%48% 32% 21%
Quinnipiac May 10–16, 2011 1,379 ±2.6%45% 31% 2% 21%
Public Policy Polling May 19–22, 2011 565 ±4.1%48% 31% 21%
[https://archive.is/20121210093511/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1284.xml?ReleaseID=1626&What=&strArea=;&strTime=0 Quinnipiac] July 12–18, 2011 1,659 ±4.1%49% 34% 1% 16%
Public Policy Polling August 11–14, 2011 792 ±3.5%48% 33% 19%
[https://web.archive.org/web/20110930115820/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1322.xml?ReleaseID=1652 Quinnipiac] September 20–25, 2011 1,301 ±2.7%49% 36% 13%
Public Policy Polling October 13–16, 2011 581 ±4.1%48% 40% 12%
[https://web.archive.org/web/20111026185455/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1322.xml?ReleaseID=1666 Quinnipiac] October 17–23, 2011 1,668 ±2.4%49% 34% 1% 14%
Public Policy Polling November 4–6, 2011 1,421 ±2.6%48% 35% 14%
Quinnipiac January 9–16, 2012 1,610 ±2.4%47% 32% 1% 18%
Public Policy Polling January 28–29, 2012 820 ±3.4%47% 36% 17%
Rasmussen Reports February 8, 2012 500 ±4.5%44% 40% 4% 12%
Quinnipiac February 7–12, 2012 500 ±4.5%48% 35% 4% 17%
NBC News/Marist February 29 – March 2, 2012 3,079 ±1.8%47% 37% 16%
Quinnipiac March 20–26, 2012 1,246 ±2.8%46% 36% 3% 14%
Rasmussen Reports March 26, 2012 500 ±4.5% 43% 43% 3% 11%
Rasmussen Reports April 18, 2012 500 ±4.5%44% 41% 3% 12%
Public Policy Polling May 3–6, 2012 875 ±3.3%45% 37% 19%
Quinnipiac May 2–7, 2012 1,069 ±3.0%46% 40% 1% 13%
NBC News/Marist May 17–20, 2012 1,103 ±3.0%51% 37% 12%
Rasmussen Reports May 29, 2012 500 ±4.5%47% 42% 3% 7%
Public Policy Polling June 21–24, 2012 673 ±3.8%46% 39% 15%
Quinnipiac June 19–25, 2012 1,237 ±2.8%50% 34% 1% 14%
Rasmussen Reports July 18, 2012 500 ±4.5%46% 42% 4% 8%
Magellan Strategies July 23–24, 2012 597 ±4.0%45% 38% 12% 5%
Quinnipiac July 24–30, 2012 1,193 ±2.8%51% 39% 1% 9%
Rasmussen Reports August 13, 2012 500 ±4.5% 44% 44% 3% 9%
Quinnipiac August 15–21, 2012 1,253 ±2.8%48% 45% 1% 10%
Ohio Poll August 16–21, 2012 847 ±3.4%48% 47% 5%
Columbus Dispatch August 15–25, 2012 1,758 ±2.1% 44% 44% 12%
[https://www.scribd.com/doc/105517852/Ohio-Poll-Obama-Convention-Bump-4 Gravis Marketing] September 7–8, 2012 1,548 ±2.7%47% 42% 11%
Public Policy Polling September 7–9, 2012 1,072 ±3.0%48% 40% 11%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll September 9–11, 2012 979 ±3.1%49% 42% 9%
Rasmussen Reports September 12, 2012 500 ±4.5%49% 41% 3% 7%
Ohio Newspaper Organization September 13–18, 2012 861 ±3.3%52% 45% 1% 2%
Fox News Poll September 16–18, 2012 1,009 ±3.0%47% 40% 1% 9%
[https://web.archive.org/web/20160306160502/https://www.scribd.com/doc/106848007/Report-Ohio-Sep-21-22-2012-1 Gravis Marketing] September 21–22, 2012 594 ±4.3%44% 43% 13%
[https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2012/09/25/washington-post-poll-brown-leads-mandel-in-ohio-senate-race/ Washington Post] September 19–23, 2012 934 ±4.0%53% 41% 6%
CBS/New York Times/Quinnipiac September 18–24, 2012 1,162 ±4.0%50% 40% 10%
NBC/WSJ/Marist September 30 – October 1, 2012 931 ±3.2%50% 41% 1% 7%
Rasmussen Reports October 4, 2012 500 ±4.5% 46% 46% 2% 6%
SurveyUSA October 5–8, 2012 808 ±3.5%42% 38% 4% 16%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll October 7–9, 2012 994 ±3.1%52% 41% 1% 6%
Rasmussen Reports October 10, 2012 500 ±4.5%47% 46% 2% 4%
Public Policy Polling October 12–13, 2012 880 ±3.3%49% 42% 9%
Survey USA October 12–15, 2012 613 ±4.0%43% 38% 4% 14%
Rasmussen Reports October 17, 2012 750 ±4.0%49% 44% 1% 5%
CBS News/Quinnipiac October 17–20, 2012 1,548 ±3.0%51% 42% 7%
Public Policy Polling October 18–20, 2012 532 ±4.3%49% 44% 7%
[https://web.archive.org/web/20121030014225/http://www.angus-reid.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/2012.10.21_Ohio.pdf Angus Reid Public Opinion] October 18–20, 2012 550 ±4.2%52% 45% 3%
Suffolk October 18–21, 2012 600 unknown46% 39% 6% 10%
[https://web.archive.org/web/20160306214531/https://www.scribd.com/doc/111056286/Ohio-Pharos-Research-Oct-2012 Pharos Research] October 19–21, 2012 810 ±3.4%52% 41% 7%
SurveyUSA October 20–22, 2012 725 ±4.2%43% 42% 3% 12%
Rasmussen Reports October 23, 2012 750 ±4.0%48% 44% 2% 5%
Cincinnati Enquirer/Ohio News October 18–23, 2012 1,015 ±3.1%51% 47% 1% 2%
Gravis Marketing October 27, 2012 730 ±3.6%48% 47% 5%
[https://www.scribd.com/doc/111619086/Quinn-10-31-FL-OH-VA?secret_password=2l8php1ck5l2c2wr8j6x CBS/Quinnipiac University] October 23–28, 2012 1,110 ±3.0%51% 42% 7%
Public Policy Polling October 26–28, 2012 718 ±3.7%53% 42% 6%
Pharos Research October 26–28, 2012 765 ±3.5%53% 43% 7%
Rasmussen Reports October 28, 2012 750 ±4.0%50% 48% 1% 1%
SurveyUSA October 26–29, 2012 603 ±4.1%46% 41% 3% 10%
Zogby/Newsmax October 27–29, 2012 825 ±3.5%46% 38% 8% 9%
University of Cincinnati/Ohio Poll October 25–30, 2012 1,182 ±2.9%49% 44% 4% 3%
Reuters/Ipsos October 29–31, 2012 885 ±3.8%49% 41% 4% 6%
NBC/WSJ/Marist October 31 – November 1, 2012 971 ±3.1%50% 45% 1% 4%
Rasmussen Reports November 1, 2012 750 ±4.0% 48% 48% 2% 2%
Columbus Dispatch October 24 – November 3, 2012 1,501 ±2.2%51% 45% 4%
Ohio Poll/Univ. of Cincinnati October 31 – November 4, 2012 901 ±3.3%51% 47% 3%
SurveyUSA November 1–4, 2012 803 ±3.5%44% 41% 4% 9%
[https://web.archive.org/web/20130621113400/http://www.angus-reid.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/11/2012.11.05_Ohio.pdf Angus Reid Public Opinion] November 2–4, 2012 572 ±4.1%52% 46% 2%
Public Policy Polling November 3–4, 2012 1,000 ±3.1%54% 44% 3%
Rasmussen Reports November 4, 2012 750 ±4%50% 48% 1% 1%

 

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