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词条 2004 United States presidential election in Idaho
释义

  1. Caucuses

  2. Campaign

     Predictions  Polling  Fundraising  Advertising and visits 

  3. Analysis

  4. Results

  5. Results breakdown

     By county  By congressional district 

  6. Electors

  7. References

  8. External links

{{Main|United States presidential election, 2004}}{{Infobox Election
| election_name = United States presidential election in Idaho, 2004
| country = Idaho
| type = presidential
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = United States presidential election in Idaho, 2000
| previous_year = 2000
| next_election = United States presidential election in Idaho, 2008
| next_year = 2008
| election_date = November 2, 2004
| image1 =
| nominee1 = George W. Bush
| party1 = Republican Party (United States)
| home_state1 = Texas
| running_mate1 = Dick Cheney
| electoral_vote1 = 4
| popular_vote1 = 409,235
| percentage1 = 68.38%
| image2 =
| nominee2 = John Kerry
| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)
| home_state2 = Massachusetts
| running_mate2 = John Edwards
| electoral_vote2 = 0
| popular_vote2 = 181,098
| percentage2 = 30.26%
| map_image = Presidential Election 2004 in Idaho.svg
| map_size = 255px
| map_caption = County Results{{col-start}}{{col-2}}Bush{{legend|#f2b3be|40-50%}}{{legend|#e27f90|50-60%}}{{legend|#cc2f4a|60-70%}}{{legend|#d40000|70-80%}}{{legend|#aa0000|80-90%}}{{legend|#800000|>90%}}{{col-2}}Kerry{{legend|#86b6f2|50-60%}}{{col-end}}
| title = President
| before_election = George W. Bush
| before_party = Republican Party (United States)
| after_election = George W. Bush
| after_party = Republican Party (United States)
}}

The 2004 United States presidential election in Idaho took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 presidential election. Voters chose 4 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Idaho was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 38.1% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. No Democratic presidential nominee won the state since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964. In 2004, President George W. Bush easily won the state and every congressional district and county, except the Democratic stronghold of Blaine County. {{As of|2016|11|alt=As of the 2016 presidential election}}, this is the last election in which Latah County voted for the Republican candidate.

With 68.38% of the popular vote, Idaho would prove to be Bush's third strongest state in the 2004 election after neighboring Utah and Wyoming.[1]

Caucuses

  • Idaho Democratic caucuses, 2004

Campaign

Predictions

{{ElectionsID}}

There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[2]

  1. D.C. Political Report: Solid Republican
  2. Associated Press: Solid Bush
  3. CNN: Bush
  4. Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
  5. Newsweek: Solid Bush
  6. New York Times: Solid Bush
  7. Rasmussen Reports: Bush
  8. Research 2000: Solid Bush
  9. Washington Post: Bush
  10. Washington Times: Solid Bush
  11. Zogby International: Bush
  12. Washington Dispatch: Bush

Polling

Only one pre-election poll was taken, which gave Bush 59%, Kerry 30%, and Nader 3%.[3]

Fundraising

Bush raised $371,495.[4] Kerry raised $359,011.[5]

Advertising and visits

Neither campaign visited or campaigned here during the fall election.[6][7]

Analysis

With a substantial Mormon population, Idaho is one of the most reliably GOP bastions in the country. Both senators and representatives are Republican. It has not supported a Democratic presidential candidate since Lyndon Johnson in 1964. Democrats have not held the state legislature since 1958, though Democrats held the governorship from 1971 to 1995. Voters tend to be extremely conservative on fiscal and social issues.

Results

United States presidential election in Idaho, 2004[8]
PartyCandidateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
Republican George W. Bush409,23568.38%4
Democratic John Kerry181,09830.26%0
Libertarian Michael Badnarik3,8440.64%0
Write In Michael Peroutka3,0380.51%0
Write In Ralph Nader1,1150.19%0
Write In David Cobb580.01%0
Write In John Joseph Kennedy9<0.01%0
Write In Walt Brown3<0.01%0
Totals598,447100.00%4
Voter turnout (Voting age population)60.2%

Results breakdown

By county

County Kerry% Kerry# Bush% Bush# Others% Others#
Ada37.7%58,52361.0%94,6411.2%1,866
Adams26.9%55571.2%1,4681.9%40
Bannock37.0%12,90361.6%21,4791.3%462
Bear Lake16.3%49482.4%2,5061.3%40
Benewah28.3%1,14869.7%2,8232.0%79
Bingham21.8%3,60576.9%12,7341.4%226
Blaine59.1%5,99239.8%4,0341.2%121
Boise27.5%97070.9%2,5011.6%56
Bonner37.6%6,64960.5%10,6971.9%338
Bonneville21.5%8,35677.3%30,0481.2%467
Boundary29.0%1,26868.8%3,0122.3%99
Butte22.8%32176.6%1,0770.6%8
Camas23.4%13975.6%4501.0%6
Canyon24.1%13,41574.7%41,5991.2%684
Caribou15.0%49183.9%2,7531.1%37
Cassia14.7%1,15383.9%6,5621.4%106
Clark13.0%4685.6%3021.4%5
Clearwater27.7%1,11770.4%2,8391.9%78
Custer23.7%55974.7%1,7621.6%37
Elmore24.3%1,95974.6%6,0111.1%91
Franklin9.0%45689.6%4,5271.4%71
Fremont12.8%74186.1%4,9651.1%63
Gem22.8%1,62875.9%5,4161.3%90
Gooding24.0%1,27874.6%3,9731.4%74
Idaho21.2%1,68975.5%6,0173.3%264
Jefferson12.2%1,08486.5%7,7031.3%119
Jerome20.4%1,34478.7%5,1770.9%59
Kootenai32.2%17,58466.2%36,1731.5%846
Latah48.0%8,43049.5%8,6862.5%437
Lemhi22.6%91575.9%3,0791.5%61
Lewis24.2%44074.7%1,3591.2%21
Lincoln24.8%46674.0%1,3881.2%22
Madison7.1%82691.9%10,6931.0%118
Minidoka18.5%1,33180.5%5,7971.0%73
Nez Perce36.6%6,47662.2%11,0091.2%215
Oneida14.3%30483.9%1,7891.9%40
Owyhee19.1%68579.6%2,8591.3%46
Payette22.6%1,84876.5%6,2560.9%77
Power28.0%82971.2%2,1050.8%24
Shoshone43.7%2,33154.7%2,9221.6%84
Teton38.4%1,41660.6%2,2351.1%39
Twin Falls24.4%6,45874.4%19,6721.2%305
Valley38.6%1,84360.0%2,8631.4%68
Washington23.7%1,03375.1%3,2741.2%52

By congressional district

Bush won both congressional districts.

District Bush Kerry Representative
{{ushr|Idaho|1|1st 69% 30%Butch Otter
{{ushr|Idaho|2|2nd 69% 30%Mike Simpson

Electors

{{Main|List of United States presidential electors, 2004}}

Technically the voters of Idaho cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Idaho is allocated 4 electors because it has 2 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 4 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 4 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from Idaho. All were pledged to and voted for George Bush and Dick Cheney.

  1. Pete T. Cenarrusa
  2. Debbie Field
  3. Sandra Patano
  4. John Sandy

References

1. ^{{cite web|url=https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/stats.php?year=2004&f=0&off=0&elect=0|title=2004 Presidential Election Statistics|publisher=Dave Leip’s Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections|date= |accessdate=2018-03-05}}
2. ^[https://web.archive.org/web/20101121204958/http://dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm]
3. ^[https://archive.is/20120716053016/http://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=16]
4. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/george_w_bush.asp?cycle=04 |title=George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President |publisher=Campaignmoney.com |date= |accessdate=2015-05-20}}
5. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/john_f_kerry.asp?cycle=04 |title=John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democratic Party, President |publisher=Campaignmoney.com |date= |accessdate=2015-05-20}}
6. ^{{cite news|url=http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/campaign.ads/ |title=Specials |publisher=Cnn.com |date= |accessdate=2015-05-20}}
7. ^{{cite news|url=http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/tracking/10.25.html |title=Specials |publisher=Cnn.com |date= |accessdate=2015-05-20}}
8. ^  {{webarchive |url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090513011625/http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2004/2004pres.pdf |date=May 13, 2009 }}

External links

  • Uselectionatlas.org
  • [https://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/2004_certificates/ Archives.gov]
{{State Results of the 2004 U.S. presidential election}}{{2004 U.S. presidential election}}{{DEFAULTSORT:United States Presidential Election In Idaho, 2004}}

3 : 2004 Idaho elections|2004 United States presidential election by state|United States presidential elections in Idaho

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